Food & Agricultural Policy Analysis
1019
Risk Management and Crop Insurance
Monday, 9:30 AM–11:00 AM
Washington State Convention Center, Level 6, Room 609
Selected Paper Session
The first paper examines producers risk management strategies, including crop insurance. The second paper examines the impact of crop yield distributions on crop insurance premiums. The third paper looks at expanding crop insurance to organic producers. The fourth paper proposes offering farmers the opportunity to self-insure through crop insurance savings accounts.
Moderator: Gregory J. Colson, University of Georgia
Presentations:
Modeling Correlated and Disaggregated Crop Revenue Distributions: Implications under Mixed Policy and Program Initiatives
Jim A. Jansen, Matthew C. Stockton, and Bradley D. Lubben, University of Nebraska
Estimation of Crop Yield Distribution and Insurance Premium using Shrinkage Estimator: A Hierarchical Bayes and Small Area Estimation Approach
Sebastain Nde Awondo, Gauri S. Datta, Octavio A. Ramirez, and Esendugue Greg Fonsah, University of Georgia
Revenue Protection for Organic Producers: Too Much or Too Little
Ariel Singerman, National Rice Company; Chad E. Hart and Sergio H. Lence, Iowa State University
Crop Insurance Savings Accounts
Gregory J. Colson, Shengfei Fu, and Octavio A. Ramirez, University of Georgia
1020
Taxes and Nudges for Healthy Eating
Monday, 9:30 AM–11:00 AM
Washington State Convention Center, Level 6, Room 611
Selected Paper Session
Papers will look at the effects of a variety of taxes and nudges on consumer decision making. Outcomes of interest include diet quality and restaurant revenue.
Moderator: Abigail M. Okrent, USDA-Economic Research Service
Presentations:
Effect of Menu Labeling on Caloric Intake and Restaurant Revenue in Full-Service Restaurants
Brenna Ellison and Jayson L. Lusk, Oklahoma State University
Have Soda Sales Tax Effects Changed Over Time? Scanner Data Comparison Analyses
Francesca Colantuoni, University of Massachusetts; Christian Rojas,
The Effects of State and County Taxes on Healthfulness of Food Consumption
Abigail M. Okrent and Richard J. Volpe, III, USDA-Economic Research Service
1035
Immigration Issues and Options for Agriculture and Agribusiness
Monday, 1:00 PM–2:30 PM
Washington State Convention Center, Level 3, Room 303
Invited Paper Session
This symposium will address the uniqueness’s of agricultural labor, policy options being considered, and problems in modeling.
Organizer: Ronald D. Knutson, Texas A&M University
Moderator: Ronald D. Knutson, Texas A&M University
Discussant: Mary Clare Ahearn, USDA-Economic Research Service
Presentations:
Uniqueness of Agricultural Labor Markets
Dennis U. Fisher and Ronald D. Knutson, Texas A&M University
Immigration Reform Policy Options
Phillip Martin, University of California, Davis; Ronald D. Knutson, Texas A&M University
Problems of Modeling U.S. Farm Labor Markets
Thomas Hertz, ERS; Steven S. Zahniser, USDA-Economic Research Service
1037
Rethinking Decoupling of Agri-food Policies in an Age of Food Price Volatility?
Monday, 1:00 PM–2:30 PM
Washington State Convention Center, Level 3, Room 305
Organized Symposia
Policy-makers are under pressure globally to protect producers and consumers from volatile food prices. This is fueling discussions in various countries to move away from decoupled farm support to support which is conditional on market prices. At the same time accession to the WTO is inducing countries to move to more decoupled support for farmers. This session discusses trends and challenges for the future.
Organizer: Johan F. M. Swinnen, University of Leuven
Moderator: Walter J. Armbruster, Farm Foundation (retired)
Panelists: Joseph W. Glauber, USDA-Office of the Chief Economist; Alfons Weersink, University of Guelph; Kym Anderson, University of Adelaide
Discussant: Keijiro Otsuka, National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies
Presentations:
Political Economy and the Impact of the WTO on Decoupling: Cross-country Evidence
Johan F. M. Swinnen, University of Leuven
China's WTO Accession and Decoupling of Agricultural Support
Scott D. Rozelle, Stanford University
1048
Farm Policy Debate: Direct Support vs. Deep-Loss Protection v. Shallow-Loss Protection
Monday, 1:00 PM–2:30 PM
Washington State Convention Center, Level 6, Room 609
Selected Paper Session
The 2012 Farm Bill debate is concerned with how best to provide support and risk management tools for producers, with a focus on shallow-loss programs such as ACRE vs. deep-loss programs such as crop insurance. The fourth paper examines the impact of direct payments on producers' labor allocation decisions.
Moderator: Hyunjeong Joo, Louisiana State University
Presentations:
Fiscal and Farm Level Consequences of “Shallow Loss” Commodity Support
Joseph C. Cooper, USDA-Economic Research Service; Christoper Davis, Economic Research Service; Benoit A. Delbecq, USDA-Economic Research Service
Yield Aggregation Impacts on a “Deep Loss” Systemic Risk Protection Program
Yang Wang, Barry J. Barnett, Keith H. Coble, and Ardian Harri, Mississippi State University
Negotiation cost to ACRE participation: Does a larger number of signatories on a base acre contract decrease the likelihood of participation in ACRE?
Anne B. Effland and Christine M. Arriola, USDA-Economic Research Service
Welfare Implications of a Reduction in Government Payments: The Role of Fringe Benefits
Jeremy M. D'Antoni, Ashok K. Mishra, Hyunjeong Joo, and Rebekah Powell, Louisiana State University
1049
At the Intersection of Environmental and Agricultural Policy
Monday, 1:00 PM–2:30 PM
Washington State Convention Center, Level 6, Room 611
Selected Paper Session
A selection of papers that look at topics which look at the environmental impact of agriculture. Papers look at carbon pricing and land use under the conservation reserve program.
Moderator: Lance Weaver, Oklahoma State University
Presentations:
Welfare changes associated with forest carbon offset credits in the United States
Jerome R. Dumortier, Indiana University-Purdue University Indianapolis
Carbon market policy design: Investigating the role of payments aggregation
Cloe Garnache and Pierre R. Merel, University of California, Davis
Should We Pay Farmers Not to Farm? A Case of the Conservation Reserve Program
Lance Weaver and Jody L. Campiche, Oklahoma State University; Michael R Dicks, , Oklahoma State Univ
1064
Attitudes, Perceptions and Values: Determinants of Decision Making
Monday, 4:30 PM–6:00 PM
Washington State Convention Center, Level 3, Room 303
Invited Paper Session
Examining linkages between psychology and economic decision making in the context of producers and consumers provides an important comparison that could contribute to effective policies. In this session we aim 1) to highlight the role of values, perceptions and attitudes in producer and consumer decision making and 2) to compare the determinants of decisions in different contexts to illustrate the links between specific decisions and specific values or attitudes.
Moderator: Ellen W. Goddard, University of Alberta
Discussant: Wendy J. Umberger, University of Adelaide
Presentations:
Risk Aversion, Subjective Beliefs, and Farmer Risk Management Strategies
Luisa Menapace, University of Trento; Gregory J. Colson, University of Georgia; Roberta Raffaelli, University of Trento, Italy
Risk Perceptions and Preferences for Ethical and Safety Credence Attributes
Jill E. Hobbs, University of Saskatchewan; Ellen W. Goddard, University of Alberta
Personal Values and Decision Making: Evidence from Environmental Footprint Labeling
Carola Grebitus, University of Bonn; Bodo E. Steiner and Michele Veeman, University of Alberta
1073
Agri-environmental Schemes - Theory Lessons, Practical Experiences, and Implications for Future Policies
Monday, 4:30 PM–6:00 PM
Washington State Convention Center, Level 6, Room 604
Organized Symposia
Agri-environmental schemes (AES), some times also denoted payments for environmental services (PES) have been in operation for quite some time. How well has these schemes been designed from a theory perspective, and what are the practical experiences? These are the back issues for the following questions? • How should AESs be formulated to reach stated policy objectives and meet the criteria of being targeted, transparent, tractable? • What is needed in terms of knowledge/science to support the practical design of efficient and equitable AESs? • If this knowledge is not available, what would be meaningful second-best policies and what are their pitfalls? • What are the impacts of such schemes on commodity production and farm profits?
Organizer: Eirik Romstad, Norwegian University of Life Sciences
Moderator: Monika Hartmann, University of Bonn
Panelists: Alan Randall, University of Sydney; David Blandford, Penn State University; Roger L. Claassen, USDA-Economic Research Service; Eirik Romstad, Norwegian University of Life Sciences
1077
Blue Sky Thinking in Agricultural Policy
Monday, 4:30 PM–6:00 PM
Washington State Convention Center, Level 6, Room 609
Selected Paper Session
This session presents a series of papers which address agricultural policy issues from a novel perspective.
Moderator: Anh Nam Tran, North Carolina State University
Presentations:
The Political Economy of Controversial Technologies
Gal Hochman, Rutgers University; Gregory D. Graff, Colorado State University; David Zilberman, University of California, Berkeley
Distortions to Agriculture and Economic Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa
Kym Anderson, University of Adelaide; Markus Brückner, National University of Singapore
Commodity Price Adjustment in a Competitive Storage Model with an Application to the Biofuel Mandate
Anh Nam Tran and Michael James Roberts, North Carolina State University
2003
Global Food Security I: Food Supply and Price Trends in the Long Run
Tuesday, 10:00 AM–11:30 AM
Washington State Convention Center, Level 2, Room 212
Organized Symposia
This is the first of two sessions focusing on fundamental aspects of food security: i) long run global food supply scenarios and their implications for the trend level of food prices, and ii) the variance of prices around that level. Of critical significance to sustainable global poverty reduction is the trend level of food prices. During the 20th century real food prices in international markets traced a downward path but have spiked several times in recent years. Will historians see the past few years as an aberration on a continuing long-run downward trajectory for food prices, or will they be seen as the beginning of a long period of high and even rising prices for farm products?
Organizers: Kym Anderson, University of Adelaide; Philip G. Pardey, University of Minnesota
Moderator: Kym Anderson, University of Adelaide
Presentations:
Agricultural R&D Investments, Farm Productivity Slowdowns, and Their Long Run Food Supply Implications
Julian M. Alston, University of California, Davis; Philip G. Pardey, University of Minnesota
The Food Security Implications of Climate Change and Mitigation Policies
Thomas W. Hertel, Purdue University
Global Poverty Consequences of Growth and Industrialization to 2050
William J. Martin and Maros Ivanic, World Bank
2020
Micro-level Development Policies in Africa
Tuesday, 10:00 AM–11:30 AM
Washington State Convention Center, Level 6, Room 609
Selected Paper Session
This session presents a series of papers describing policies aimed at smallholder producers in Africa.
Moderator: Milu Muyanga, Michigan State University
Presentations:
Subsistence farmer preferences for alternative incentive policies to encourage the adoption of conservation agriculture in Malawi: A choice elicitation approach.
Paswel P. Marenya, International Food Policy Research Institute; Vincent H. Smith, Montana State University; Ephraim M. Nkonya and Kato Edward, International Food Policy Research Institute
Do cooperatives help the poor? Evidence from Ethiopia
Maria F. Rodrigo, University of Wisconsin Madison
Effects of Population Density and Public Investments on Smallholder Agricultural Commercialization in Kenya
Milu Muyanga, Michigan State University; Thomas S. Jayne, Michigan State Univ
2033
Global Food Security II: Food Price Fluctuations and Their Food Security Implications
Tuesday, 12:30 PM–2:00 PM
Washington State Convention Center, Level 2, Room 212
Organized Symposia
This is the second of two sessions focusing on fundamental aspects of food security: i) long run global food supply scenarios and their implications for the trend level of food prices, and ii) the variance of prices around that level. National governments, groups such as the G-20, and the major international economic organizations have worried over food price variability over the past four years. Certainly some groups are harmed by fluctuating prices, but others may benefit. Understanding the causes and effects of those fluctuations – and of the likely effects of policy responses to price spikes on markets, aggregate national welfare and its distribution – is essential for better policy making in this area.
Organizers: Kym Anderson, University of Adelaide; Philip G. Pardey, University of Minnesota
Moderator: Philip G. Pardey, University of Minnesota
Presentations:
The Economics of Agricultural Price Variability
Brian D. Wright, University of California, Berkeley
Variable Trade Restrictions: Policy Responses (and contributors) to Food Price Fluctuations
Kym Anderson and Signe Nelgen, University of Adelaide
Do Food Price Insulation Policies Reduce Poverty?
William J. Martin and Maros Ivanic, World Bank; Kym Anderson, University of Adelaide
2049
Livestock Policy Issues
Tuesday, 12:30 PM–2:00 PM
Washington State Convention Center, Level 6, Room 608
Selected Paper Session
This session focuses on government policy issues affecting the livestock industries including U.S. horse slaughter policies, comparing U.S. and Canadian cattle policies, and examining U.S. dairy producers preferences for the 2012 Farm Bill. A fourth paper examines how firm policies related to long-term contracts affect the dairy processing industry.
Moderator: Christopher A. Wolf, Michigan State University
Presentations:
Consequences of U.S. Horse Slaughter Policies: An Equilibrium Displacement Approach
Mallory K. Vestal, Jayson L. Lusk, Clement E. Ward, and Steven R. Cooper, Oklahoma State University
Effects of Market and Policy Shocks on the Canadian and U.S. Cattle and Beef Industries
Edgar Edwin Twine and James I. Rude, University of Alberta
Dairy Farmer Preferences for 2012 Farm Bill
Christopher A. Wolf, Michigan State University; Glynn T. Tonsor, Kansas State University
2050
Food Security, Food Access and Food Deserts
Tuesday, 12:30 PM–2:00 PM
Washington State Convention Center, Level 6, Room 609
Selected Paper Session
These papers look at how food access affects healthy eating, food security and crime. Papers deal with both domestic and international food security.
Moderator: Adam N. Rabinowitz, University of Connecticut
Presentations:
Is Healthy Food Getting Easier to Access? Changes in Food Access over the Past Decade
Paula Dutko, USDA Economic Research Service; Michele L. Ver Ploeg, USDA-Economic Research Service; Vince Breneman, USDA ERS; Christopher W. Dicken, USDA/ERS; Ryan Williams, USDA Economic Research Service; Samantha D. Snyder, Purdue University; Phil R Kaufman, USDA ERS
The Role of Food Access in Meeting Some Dietary Guidelines: A Natural Experiment
Gayaneh S. Kyureghian, University of Nebraska; Rodolfo M. Nayga, University of Arkansas
The Endogeneity of Crime and Supermarket Locations: Implications for Food Access
Adam N. Rabinowitz, University of Connecticut
2062
Evaluation Approaches for Cellulosic Biofuels – Political and Applied Economics Perspectives on Analytical Methods
Tuesday, 4:00 PM–5:30 PM
Washington State Convention Center, Level 2, Room 211
Organized Symposia
This session aims at stimulating a discussion on evaluation of biofuels policy and its effectiveness by providing an overview of different applied economics methodologies that are used for investigating economic, environmental and social aspects of biofuels markets and policies. It will show and distinguish benefits of different evaluation approaches and underline the implications for investigating various biofuels market and policy questions. The session will include a broad spectrum of biofuels analysts, both scientists and practitioners and help to elaborate on methods to support the process of biofuels market assessments and policy making and design in the future.
Organizer: William H. Meyers, University of Missouri
Moderator: William H. Meyers, University of Missouri
Discussants: David Zilberman, University of California, Berkeley; John N. Ferris, Michigan State University
Presentations:
Economic Potential for Biofuels in the US under Various Policy Scenarios
Madhu Khanna, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Methodological evaluation perspective on sustainability of conventional and advanced biofuels feedstocks and biofuels production
Jadwiga R. Ziolkowska, University of California, Berkeley
Projecting Cellulosic Production and Use: How many uncertainties?
Patrick C. Westhoff, University of Missouri
2066
Is Subsidizing Farm Crop and Revenue Insurance Economically Justified?
Tuesday, 4:00 PM–5:30 PM
Washington State Convention Center, Level 3, Room 303
Invited Paper Session
Subsidized crop insurance has become the major farm program. Crop insurance subsidies already amount to about $6 Billion per year and current proposals for replacing direct payments with “shallow-loss protection” would raise the levels of subsidized protection and increase the cost of the program. The economic justification for subsidizing farming in this way deserves continued critical public examination.
Organizer: Richard G. Heifner, Retired
Moderator: Richard G. Heifner, Retired
Discussant: Gary D. Schnitkey, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Presentations:
Why Has Subsidizing Crop Insurance Become the Farm Program of Choice?
Joseph W. Glauber, USDA-Office of the Chief Economist
What Harm is Done by Subsidizing Crop Insurance?
Barry K. Goodwin, North Carolina State University
What Benefits Accrue from Subsidizing Crop Insurance?
Keith H. Coble, Mississippi State University
2077
Impacts of Biofuels Policies in the U.S. and Brazil
Tuesday, 4:00 PM–5:30 PM
Washington State Convention Center, Level 6, Room 608
Selected Paper Session
In the last decade, the biggest driver of change in agriculture has been government policies promoting biofuels. As of December 31, 2011, the U.S. let its ethanol subsidy expire. This session focuses on the impact of changes in biofuel policies in the U.S. and the impacts of biofuel policies on agricultural sectors in the U.S. and Brazil.
Moderator: Constanza Valdes, USDA-Economic Research Service
Presentations:
Optimal Ethanol Policies for the U.S. in a General Equilibrium Framework
Kristen Cooper, Harry De Gorter, and Dusan Drabik, Cornell University
An Empirical Assessment of Simultaneous Ethanol Policy Changes on U.S. Agricultural Markets
Anton Bekkerman, Montana State University; James A. Brown, Cargill, Inc.; Joseph A. Atwood and Myles J. Watts, Montana State University
The Long-Run Impacts of Ethanol Subsidies and Ethanol Expansion on the US Corn and Pig Sectors
Jacinto F. Fabiosa, Iowa State University
Assessing Brazil’s Biofuel Industry Impacts on Land Use, Crops and Livestock Production
Constanza Valdes, USDA-Economic Research Service; Kim C. Hjort, , Economic Analysis Systems; Ralph M. Seeley, USDA ERS; Heloisa Lee Burnquist, University of Sao Paulo
2078
Federal Nutrition Assistance Policy
Tuesday, 4:00 PM–5:30 PM
Washington State Convention Center, Level 6, Room 609
Selected Paper Session
A collection of papers which study important Federal nutrition support programs. Several studies look at the effects on health, food security and diet quality.
Moderator: Joseph William Levedahl, USDA-Economic Research Service
Presentations:
Are National School Lunch Program Participants More Likely to be Obese?
Janet G. Peckham and Jaclyn D. Kropp, Clemson University
The Effect of Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program on Food Spending Among Low-Income Households
Tullaya Boonsaeng and Carlos E. Carpio, Clemson University; Chen Zhen, RTI International; Abigail M. Okrent, USDA-Economic Research Service
SNAP and Food Insecurity Dynamics: Using Intra-Annual Measurements
Bradford F. Mills, Virginia Polytechnic & State Univ; Elton Mykerezi, University of Minnesota; Yiran Li, Virginia Tech
Net Taxpayer Cost of Providing WIC Infant Formula
Joseph William Levedahl and Albert J. Reed, USDA-Economic Research Service